Skip to main content

Table 5 Predictive value of the prediction model for different cutoffs in the total risk score

From: Development of a clinical prediction model for the onset of functional decline in people aged 65–75 years: pooled analysis of four European cohort studies

Cutoff

% in risk group

Sensitivity

Specificity

PPV

NPV

≥8

99.8%

100.0%

0.2%

100.2%

22.4%

100.0%

≥16

99.1%

100.0%

1.2%

101.2%

22.6%

100.0%

≥24

92.9%

98.6%

8.7%

107.3%

23.7%

95.6%

≥32

75.8%

91.8%

28.8%

120.6%

27.1%

92.4%

≥40

51.3%

75.0%

55.5%

130.5%

32.7%

88.5%

≥48

28.6%

50.3%

77.6%

128.0%

39.3%

84.5%

≥56

11.3%

25.9%

92.9%

118.7%

51.0%

81.3%

≥64

4.0%

10.0%

97.7%

107.7%

55.3%

79.0%

≥72

0.7%

2.1%

99.7%

101.8%

66.7%

78.0%

≥80

0.2%

0.7%

100.0%

100.7%

100.0%

77.8%

  1. PPV positive predicted value, NPV negative predictive value; sum of sensitivity and specificity