LoS, in days | Absolute risk | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | cases | % | Model 1 | Model 2 | |
All | 73,551 | 18,638 | 25.3 | ||
2–4 | 8,982 | 1,729 | 19.3 | 0.76 (0.72–0.80) | 0.82 (0.77–0.87) |
5–8 | 21,723 | 4,683 | 21.6 | 0.84 (0.81–0.87) | 0.87 (0.83–0.91) |
9–12 | 19,913 | 5,197 | 26.1 | Ref | Ref |
13–23 | 20,123 | 6,073 | 30.2 | 1.16 (1.12–1.21) | 1.09 (1.05–1.13) |
24+ | 2,810 | 956 | 34.0 | 1.35 (1.26–1.45) | 1.19 (1.11–1.28) |
Women | 50,928 | 11,791 | 23.2 | ||
2–4 | 6,133 | 1,057 | 17.2 | 0.74 (0.69–0.79) | 0.80 (0.75–0.87) |
5–8 | 15,331 | 2,982 | 19.5 | 0.82 (0.78–0.86) | 0.86 (0.82–0.90) |
9–12 | 13,902 | 3,320 | 23.9 | Ref | Ref |
13–23 | 13,747 | 3,853 | 23.9 | 1.19 (1.13–1.25) | 1.09 (1.04–1.15) |
24+ | 1,815 | 579 | 31.9 | 1.40 (1.28–1.53) | 1.22 (1.12–1.34) |
Men | 22,623 | 6,847 | 30.3 | ||
2–4 | 2,849 | 672 | 23.6 | 0.80 (0.73–0.87) | 0.84 (0.76–0.92) |
5–8 | 6,392 | 1,701 | 26.6 | 0.87 (0.81–0.87) | 0.89 (0.83–0.95) |
9–12 | 6,011 | 1,877 | 31.2 | Ref | Ref |
13–23 | 6,376 | 2,220 | 34.8 | 1.13 (1.06–1.20) | 1.08 (1.02–1.15) |
24+ | 995 | 377 | 37.9 | 1.29 (1.15–1.44) | 1.16 (1.03–1.29) |
Age 65–79 | 22,849 | 5,170 | 22.6 | ||
2–4 | 3,437 | 590 | 17.2 | 0.71 (0.65–0.78) | 0.81 (0.73–0.90) |
5–8 | 7,411 | 1,389 | 18.7 | 0.79 (0.73–0.85) | 0.84 (0.78–0.91) |
9–12 | 5,978 | 1,404 | 23.5 | Ref | Ref |
13–23 | 5,306 | 1,539 | 29.0 | 1.26 (1.17–1.36) | 1.14 (1.06–1.22) |
24+ | 717 | 248 | 34.6 | 1.55 (1.35–1.77) | 1.25 (1.09–1.44) |
Age 80+ | 50,701 | 13,468 | 26.6 | ||
2–4 | 5,545 | 1,139 | 20.5 | 0.80 (0.74–0.85) | 0.85 (0.79–0.92) |
5–8 | 14,311 | 3,294 | 23.0 | 0.86 (0.83–0.91) | 0.90 (0.86–0.95) |
9–12 | 13,935 | 3,793 | 27.2 | Ref | Ref |
13–23 | 14,817 | 4,534 | 30.6 | 1.14 (1.09–1.19) | 1.07 (1.02–1.12) |
24+ | 2,093 | 708 | 33.8 | 1.30 (1.20–1.40) | 1.16 (1.07–1.26) |
Independent living | 52,856 | 13,636 | 25.8 | ||
2–4 | 3,340 | 533 | 16.0 | 0.64 (0.58–0.70) | 0.77 (0.70–0.84) |
5–8 | 12,809 | 2,675 | 20.9 | 0.81 (0.78–0.86) | 0.87 (0.83–0.92) |
9–12 | 16,561 | 4,314 | 26.1 | Ref | Ref |
13–23 | 17,665 | 5,282 | 29.9 | 1.15 (1.11–1.20) | 1.06 (1.02–1.11) |
24+ | 2,481 | 832 | 33.5 | 1.33 (1.24–1.43) | 1.16 (1.07–1.25) |
Care home | 20,695 | 5,002 | 24.2 | ||
2–4 | 5,642 | 1,196 | 21.2 | 0.81 (0.74–0.88) | 0.84 (0.77–0.91) |
5–8 | 8,914 | 2,008 | 22.5 | 0.86 (0.80–0.94) | 0.88 (0.81–0.96) |
9–12 | 3,352 | 883 | 26.3 | Ref | Ref |
13–23 | 2,458 | 791 | 32.2 | 1.22 (1.11–1.34) | 1.18 (1.07–1.30) |
24+ | 329 | 124 | 37.7 | 1.48 (1.22–1.78) | 1.40 (1.15–1.69) |