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Table 3 Predictors of one-year mortality after discharge

From: Short-term and long-term increased mortality in elderly patients with burn injury: a national longitudinal cohort study

 

1 year mortality (n = 681)

Univariable regression

Multivariable regression5

Characteristics

Survivors (n = 626)

Non-survivors (n = 55)

OR (95% CI)

OR (95% CI)

Sex, female

301 (48.1)

20 (36.4)

0.62 (0.35–1.0)

 

Age, years

74.0 (69.0–80.0)

73.0 (69.0–80.0)

1.09 (1.05–1.13)3

1.06 (1.02–1.11)3

ASA score1

 1–2

396 (65.0)

11 (22.4)

1

 

  ≥ 3

213 (35.0)

38 (77.6)

6.42 (3.21–12.82)3

4.75 (2.32–9.72)3

SES score1

 Other

430 (70.7)

36 (65.5)

1

 

 Low SES (1st quintile)

178 (29.3)

19 (34.5)

1.28 (0.71–2.28)

 

TBSA burned

  < 5%

391 (62.5)

36 (65.5)

1

 

 5–19%

205 (32.7)

15 (27.3)

0.96 (0.43–1.49)

 

  ≥ 20%

30 (4.8)

4 (7.3)

1.45 (0.48–4.34)

 

 Revised Baux Score

80.0 (73.5–88.0)

79.7 (73.0–87.6)

1.05 (1.02–1.07)3

–

Surgery

 No

163 (26.0)

13 (23.6)

1

 

 Yes

463 (74.0)

42 (76.4)

1.14 (0.60–2.17)

 

TBSA excision (%)

 No surgery

163 (26.0)

13 (23.6)

1

 

  < 5%

338 (54.0)

30 (54.5)

1.11 (0.57–2.19)

 

  > 5%

125 (20.0)

12 (21.8)

1.20 (0.53–2.73)

 

 Length of stay (days)

14.5 (3.0–26.0)

14.0 (2.0–26.0)

1.01 (1.00–1.02)4

–

ICU stay

 No

507 (81.0)

42 (76.4)

1

 

 Yes

119 (19.0)

13 (23.6)

1.32 (0.69–2.53)

 

Mechanical ventilation

 No

559 (89.3)

47 (85.5)

1

 

 Yes

67 (10.7)

8 (14.5)

1.42 (0.64–3.13)

 

Discharge location1

 Home

457 (73.6)

25 (45.5)

1

 

 Other2

164 (26.4)

30 (54.5)

3.34 (1.91–5.85)3

2.01 (1.06–3.79)3

  1. All data are presented as median (P25-P75) or as n (%)
  2. 1Missing: ASA n = 23, SES n = 18, Discharge location n = 5
  3. 2Including nursing facility, other hospital, psychiatric facility, revalidation facility
  4. 3p < 0.05
  5. 4Original value 1.009 (0.996–1.023) p < 0.20
  6. 5Nagelkerke r2 0.18