Table 3 Predicting death using general health status trajectory group memberships, odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals

Group membership (Ref. high start, slight decrease)

 High start, convex

1.79***

1.94***

(1.40, 2.30)

(1.47, 2.55)

 Low start, concave

1.19

1.46*

(0.88, 1.61)

(1.04, 2.02)

 Low start, slight increase

1.74***

2.32***

(1.37, 2.20)

(1.74, 3.09)

Female

0.93

(0.73, 1.18)

Age

1.27

(0.98, 1.65)

Age squared

1.00

(1.00, 1.00)

Race/Ethnicity (Ref. White)

 Black

0.68**

(0.54, 0.91)

 Other

0.63

(0.35, 1.11)

 Hispanic

0.50**

(0.33, 0.76)

Educational attainment (Ref. < High school)

 High school

1.05

(0.79, 1.39)

 > High school

1.26

(0.97, 1.65)

# of siblings (Ref. 0)

 1–3

0.95

(0.75, 1.22)

 4 + 

0.84

(0.61, 1.16)

# of children (Ref. 0)

 1–3

0.74

(0.51, 1.07)

 4 + 

0.67*

(0.46, 1.00)

Medicare

0.96

(0.76, 1.21)

Medicaid

0.93

(0.70, 1.22)

Tricare

1.09

(0.65, 1.83)

Comorbidity (Ref. 0)

 1–3

1.24

(0.83, 1.85)

 4 + 

1.39

(0.90, 2.14)

Marital status (Ref. Never married)

 Married/live with a partner

1.10

(0.63, 1.90)

 Separated, divorced, widowed

0.99

(0.58, 1.68)

Smoke regularly

1.52**

(1.17, 1.97)

Self-report

0.61**

(0.46, 0.82)

MCI

0.59***

(0.47, 0.73)