Dynamical indicators in time series of healthcare expenditures predict mortality risk of older adults following spousal bereavement

Table 3 Discrimination ability to predict one-year mortality based on DIORs stratified by sex

	Males (N = 17,813, Deceased = 1423)		Females (N = 34,077, Deceased = 1439)
	AUC [95% CI]	p-Value	AUC [95% CI]	p-Value
Age	68.9 [67.4, 70.3]	< 0.001	70.2 [68.8, 71.6]	< 0.001
Age + Average	76 [74.8, 77.2]	< 0.001	79.1 [78, 80.2]	< 0.001
Age + Slope	71.4 [70.0, 72.7]	< 0.001	74.3 [73.0, 75.5]	< 0.001
Age + MSE	76.9 [75.8, 78.1]	< 0.001	80.2 [79.2, 81.1]	< 0.001
Age + Autocorrelation	72.3 [70.9, 73.6]	< 0.001	76.6 [75.5, 77.8]	< 0.001
Age + Average + MSE + Autocorrelation + Slope	78.5 [77.4, 79.6]	< 0.001	82.4 [81.5, 83.3]	< 0.001

AUC: Area Under the ROC Curve, P-values < 0.05 indicate significant difference in AUC compared with the null model (no predictors)

ISSN: 1471-2318