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Table 3 Discrimination ability to predict one-year mortality based on DIORs stratified by sex

From: Dynamical indicators in time series of healthcare expenditures predict mortality risk of older adults following spousal bereavement

  Males (N = 17,813, Deceased = 1423) Females (N = 34,077, Deceased = 1439)
AUC [95% CI] p-Value AUC [95% CI] p-Value
Age 68.9 [67.4, 70.3]  < 0.001 70.2 [68.8, 71.6]  < 0.001
Age + Average 76 [74.8, 77.2]  < 0.001 79.1 [78, 80.2]  < 0.001
Age + Slope 71.4 [70.0, 72.7]  < 0.001 74.3 [73.0, 75.5]  < 0.001
Age + MSE 76.9 [75.8, 78.1]  < 0.001 80.2 [79.2, 81.1]  < 0.001
Age + Autocorrelation 72.3 [70.9, 73.6]  < 0.001 76.6 [75.5, 77.8]  < 0.001
Age + Average + MSE + Autocorrelation + Slope 78.5 [77.4, 79.6]  < 0.001 82.4 [81.5, 83.3]  < 0.001
  1. AUC: Area Under the ROC Curve, P-values < 0.05 indicate significant difference in AUC compared with the null model (no predictors)