Table 3 Added value of health indicators to mortality prediction stratified by age tertiles
Strata | Health Indicator | Current Status | Three-year Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average Score (min—max) | Five-year AUCa | Average Score (min—max) | Five-year AUCa | ||
Age tertile 68.0 – 73.5 | Age and sex |  | 65.2 (56.8 – 73.5) |  | 65.2 (56.8 – 73.5) |
(329 at risk, 36 died) |  + Frailty Phenotype | 0.7 (0.0 – 4.0) |  + 0.2 (-1.8 – 2.2) | 0.3 (-3.0 – 4.0) | - 0.8 (-2.0 – 0.3) |
 + Frailty Index | 0.16 (0.00 – 0.61) |  + 2.0 (-4.4 – 8.5) | 0.02 (-0.23 – 0.27) | - 0.3 (-2.9 – 2.4) | |
 + Grip strength | 28.6 (3.0 – 62.5) |  + 0.4 (-1.3 – 2.0) | -3.3 (-23.5 – 10.0) |  + 0.6 (-1.5 – 2.6) | |
 + Walking speed | 8.3 (4.0 – 48.0) | - 0.1 (-4.0 – 3.8) | 1.3 (-8.0 – 37.0) |  + 1.5 (-1.2 – 4.2) | |
 + Mini-Mental State Examination | 27.9 (18.0 – 30.0) | - 1.4 (-6.3 – 3.5) | -0.0 (-9.0 – 6.0) | - 1.6 (-3.5 – 0.2) | |
Age tertile 73.6 – 80.4 | Age and sex |  | 61.2 (53.1 – 69.4) |  | 61.2 (53.1 – 69.4) |
(338 at risk, 50 died) |  + Frailty Phenotype | 1.0 (0.0 – 4.0) |  + 0.7 (-3.2 – 4.6) | 0.3 (-2.0 – 3.0) | - 0.6 (-2.4 – 1.1) |
 + Frailty Index | 0.20 (0.02 – 0.61) |  + 3.8 (-0.7 – 8.2) | 0.03 (-0.19 – 0.27) |  + 2.8 (-1.4 – 7.1) | |
 + Grip strength | 26.1 (1.0 – 49.5) |  + 1.6 (-1.6 – 4.9) | -3.1 (-28.0 – 11.5) |  + 0.1 (-2.7 – 3.0) | |
 + Walking speed | 9.5 (3.0 – 39.0) | - 0.7 (-3.1 – 1.6) | 1.8 (-9.0 – 19.0) | - 0.3 (-1.3 – 0.6) | |
 + Mini-Mental State Examination | 27.2 (16.0 – 30.0) |  + 3.0 (-1.8 – 7.8) | -0.3 (-9.0 – 6.0) |  + 1.6 (-1.5 – 4.6) | |
Age tertile 80.5 – 91.6 | Age and sex |  | 59.4 (53.3 – 65.5) |  | 59.4 (53.3 – 65.5) |
(328 at risk, 134 died) |  + Frailty Phenotype | 1.8 (0.0 – 5.0) |  + 7.9 (4.2 – 11.7) | 0.5 (-2.0 – 4.0) | - 0.2 (-0.6 – 0.2) |
 + Frailty Index | 0.26 (0.03 – 0.63) |  + 11.5 (6.5 – 16.5) | 0.04 (-0.27 – 0.25) |  + 4.6 (1.4 – 7.8) | |
 + Grip strength | 20.9 (1.0 – 45.0) |  + 3.5 (0.5 – 6.5) | -4.4 (-21.0 – 6.5) |  + 0.0 (-0.8 – 0.8) | |
 + Walking speed | 13.1 (4.0 – 102.0) |  + 2.3 (0.1 – 4.4) | 3.4 (-12.0 – 83.0) |  + 1.4 (-0.2 – 3.1) | |
 + Mini-Mental State Examination | 25.7 (9.0 – 30.0) |  + 3.9 (0.5 – 7.3) | -0.8 (-15.0 – 7.0) | - 0.4 (-1.7 – 0.9) | |