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Table 1 Ability of health categorization to predict survivorship to the frontier of survival measured by the area under the curve (AUC) statistic. 1905 and 1910 cohorts

From: Stratification in health and survival after age 100: evidence from Danish centenarians

 

1905 Cohort

1910 Cohort

Percentile

Age

AUC

Age

AUC

95th

105.61

0.65

105.72

0.71

96th

105.95

0.68

106.08

0.71

97th

106.26

0.68

106.39

0.76

98th

106.95

0.68

107.09

0.76

99th

107.94

0.68

108.15

0.73

  1. Note: The AUC ranges from 0 to 1; a higher AUC implies a better prediction. Medford et al. (2019) define the frontier of survival as the 95th percentile of the centenarian age-at-death distribution. We included upper percentiles as a robustness check