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Table 4 Scoring systems for predicting death of COVID‐19 patients over 60 years of age

From: ABC-GOALScl score predicts admission to the intensive care unit and mortality of COVID-19 patients over 60 years of age

Score

AUROC (Min, Max)

N

Cut off value

Sensitivity (%)

Specificity (%)

PPV

NPV

NEWS

0.764 (0.700, 0.819)

210

 > 4

66.7

69

35

49.2

COVID‐GRAM

0.785 (0.723, 0.838)

210

 > 17.7

88.1

61.3

36.3

95.4

ISARIC‐4C

0.799 (0.738, 0.851)

210

 > 8

88.1

5.9

33.3

94.9

qCSI

0.749 (0.685,0.806)

210

 > 5

69

77.4

43.3

90.9

PSI (65–84)

0.85 (0.80, 0.90)

438

91

100

38.3

23.9

98.5

PSI (> 85)

0.69 (0.60, 0.79)

201

91

100

19.8

14.9

94.7

CURB-65 (65–84)

0.73 (0.65, 0.82)

438

N/A

65.5

74.7

16.3

96.5

CURB-65 (> 85)

0.60 (0.48, 0.73)

201

N/A

47.4

65.9

12.7

92.3

ABC-GOALScl

0.73 (0.66, 0.79)

243

4.5

95

78.6

83.1

52.5

  1. AUROC Area Under the ROC Curve, NEWS National Early Warning Score, COVID-GRAM COVID-GRAM Critical Illness Risk Score, ISARIC-4C International Severe Acute Respiratory Infection Consortium Clinical Characterization Protocol-Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium, qCSI quick COVID-19 Severity Index, PSI Pneumonia Severity Index, CURB-65 confusion, blood urea, respiratory rate, blood pressure, pneumonia Severity Score [14, 15]