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Table 4 Predictors of mortality between one to five years after discharge

From: Short-term and long-term increased mortality in elderly patients with burn injury: a national longitudinal cohort study

 

1–5 years mortality (n = 626)

Univariable regression

Multivariable regression6

Characteristics

Survivors (n = 501)

Non survivors (n = 125)

OR (95% CI)

OR (95% CI)

 Sex, female

229 (45.7)

72 (57.6)

1.61 (1.09–2.40)3

–

 Age, years

72.0 (69.0–79.0)

79.0 (71.0–85.0)

1.08 (1.05–1.11)3

1.06 (1.03–1.09)3

ASA score1

 1–2

228 (69.1)

58 (48.3)

1

1

  ≥ 3

151 (30.9)

62 (51.7)

2.39 (1.59–3.59)3

1.72 (1.11–2.66)3

SES score1

 Other

348 (71.2)

82 (68.9)

1

 

 Low SES (1st quintile)

141 (28.8)

37 (31.1)

1.11 (0.72–1.72)

–

TBSA burned

  < 5%

308 (61.5)

83 (66.4)

1

 

 5–19%

166 (33.1)

39 (31.2)

0.87 (0.57–1.33)

–

  ≥ 20%

27 (5.4)

3 (2.4)

0.41 (0.12–1.39)

–

 Revised Baux Score

78.5 (72.2–86.0)

85.0 (77.2–93.0)

1.04 (1.02–1.06)3,5

–

Surgery

 No

139 (27.7)

24 (19.2)

1

 

 Yes

362 (72.3)

101 (80.8)

1.62 (0.99–2.63)

–

TBSA excision

 No surgery

139 (27.7)

24 (19.2)

1

1

  < 5%

270 (53.9)

68 (54.4)

1.46 (0.88–2.43)

–

  ≥ 5%

92 (18.4)

33 (26.4)

2.08 (1.15–3.74)

1.35 (0.90–1.85)

 Length of stay (days)

12.0 (2.0–25.0)

16.0 (5.0–27.5)

1.01 (1.00–1.016)4

–

ICU stay

 No

416 (83.0)

91 (72.8)

1

 

 Yes

85 (17.0)

34 (27.2)

1.83 (1.16–2.90)3

–

Mechanical ventilation

 No

456 (91.0)

103 (82.4)

1

 

 Yes

45 (9.0)

22 (17.6)

2.16 (1.25–3.76)3

–

Discharge location1

 Home

390 (78.2)

67 (54.9)

1

 

 Other2

109 (21.8)

55 (45.1)

2.94 (1.94–4.45)3

1.84 (1.16–2.92)3

  1. All data are presented as median (P25-P75) or as n (%)
  2. 1Missing: ASA n = 23, SES n = 18, Discharge location n = 5
  3. 2Including nursing facility, other hospital, psychiatric facility, revalidation facility
  4. 3p < 0.05
  5. 4Original value 1.005 (0.995–1.016)
  6. 5In multivariate analysis revised Baux score was not included because of multicollinearity with age (Spearman correlation = 0.744) and mechanical ventilation was not included because of multicollinearity with ICU
  7. 6Nagelkerke r2 0.19