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Table 2 Performance criteria for all ISAR cut-points and readmission at 30 and 90 days after discharge (n = 386)

From: The Revised Identification of Seniors At Risk screening tool predicts readmission in older hospitalized patients: a cohort study

    

Predictive value

    

 + 

-

Outcomes and ISAR-R cut-points

Positive % (n = 386)

Sensitivity (%)

Specificity (%)

n (%)

n (%)

30-day readmission (51/386 = 13.2%)

 

(n = 51)

(n = 335)

  

 1 + 

91%

100%

10%

352 (14%)

34 (100%)

 2 + 

65%

84%

38%

252 (17%)

134 (94%)

 3 + 

39%

51%

63%

151 (17%)

235 (89%)

 4 + 

20%

31%

82%

76 (21%)

310 (89%)

 5 + 

4%

8%

96%

17 (24%)

369 (87%)

 6

1%

2%

99%

3 (33%)

383 (87%)

AUC [95% CI]

0.63 [0.56; 0.71]

90-day readmission (96/386 = 24.9%)

 

(n = 96)

(n = 290)

  

 1 + 

91%

97%

11%

352 (26%)

34 (91%)

 2 + 

65%

81%

40%

252 (31%)

134 (87%)

 3 + 

39%

51%

65%

151 (32%)

235 (87%)

 4 + 

20%

28%

83%

76 (36%)

310 (78%)

 5 + 

4%

8%

97%

17 (47%)

369 (76%)

 6

1%

2%

100%

3 (67%)

383 (75%)

AUC [95% CI]

0.63 [0.57; 0.69]

  1. AUC Area Under the Curve, ISAR-R Identification of Seniors At Risk-Revised