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Table 3 Means and 95% credible intervals of differences of projected prevalences between 2012 and 2026, and between scenarios pairwise in 2026

From: Using multiple imputation and intervention-based scenarios to project the mobility of older adults

Outcome Studya 2026 vs. 2012: Scenario 0 2026: Scenario 2 vs. Scenario 0 2026: Scenario 1 vs. Scenario 0 2026: Scenario 2 vs. Scenario 1
Stair climbing limitations ALL 0.7 (− 4.0, 6.5) − 9.6 (− 15.6, − 3.9) −8.2 (− 13.5, − 3.6) − 1.4 (− 6.3, 3.9)
HRS 5.4 (0.0, 11.6) −10.9 (− 17.7, − 4.3) − 9.1 (− 15.5, − 3.8) −1.7 (− 6.7, 2.7)
ELSA −2.6 (− 8.1, 3.5) − 8.7 (− 15.1, − 3.3) −7.5 (− 12.9, − 2.0) −1.1 (− 5.7, 3.8)
H2000 −3.3 (− 9.1, 3.4) − 9.0 (− 15.6, − 2.4) − 7.6 (− 13.4, − 0.9) −1.4 (− 6.4, 5.2)
Walking limitations ALL −2.7 (−4.8, 0.3) − 1.9 (− 4.6, 0.2) −0.7 (− 3.4, 1.9) −1.3 (− 3.5, 0.5)
HRS −3.0 (− 5.5, 0.8) − 2.1 (− 5.4, 0.4) −0.8 (− 4.3, 2.7) −1.3 (− 3.9, 0.9)
ELSA −2.2 (−4.5, 0.9) − 1.8 (− 5.1, 0.2) −0.6 (− 3.4, 1.7) −1.2 (− 3.4, 0.8)
H2000 −3.7 (− 6.5, − 0.1) − 1.7 (− 4.4, 0.5) − 0.5 (− 3.3, 2.1) −1.3 (− 4.4, 0.9)
  1. aHRS The Health and Retirement Study, ELSA The English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, H2000 The Health 2000 and 2011 Surveys