Skip to main content

Table 4 Projected number of older adults with impairment (in millions) by type, gender, and age cohorts

From: Trends in functional disability and cognitive impairment among the older adult in China up to 2060: estimates from a dynamic multi-state population model

 

2015

2060

Annual relative change (%)

Relative change (2015–2060)

65–74 Years

 ADL only

0·934 (0·92–0·95)

1·129 (1·102–1·156)

0·46% (0·44–0·48)

20·8% (19·7–21·6)

 CI only

2·076 (2·044–2·108)

2·717 (2·665–2·768)

0·69% (0·68–0·70)

30·8% (30·4–31·3)

 CI and ADL

0·170 (0·165–0·176)

0·163 (0·157–0·170)

−0·09% (−0·1- -0·08)

−4·19% (−4·93- -3·49)

75–84 Years

 ADL only

1·598 (1·573–1·623)

4·163 (4·089–4·237)

3·57% (3·56–3·58)

160·5% (159·9–161·07)

 CI only

6·003 (5·960–6·045)

15·723 (14·598–15·848)

3·60% (3·59–3·60)

161·9% (161·7–162·1)

 CI and ADL

1·049 (1·031–1·067)

2·443 (2·398–2·488)

2·95% (2·94–2·96)

132·8% (132·5–133·1)

85 and over

 ADL only

1·147 (1·129–1·166)

18·692 (18·141–19·243)

33·9% (33·4–34·4)

1529% (1507–1550)

 CI only

3·365 (3·337–3·392)

29·408 (29·083–29·732)

17·2% (17·1–17·25)

773% (771–776)

 CI and ADL

1·578 (1·555–1·601)

21·764 (21·193–22·299)

28·4% (28·07–28·73)

1278% (1262–1292)