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Table 3 Projected number of older adults with impairment (in millions) by type and gender

From: Trends in functional disability and cognitive impairment among the older adult in China up to 2060: estimates from a dynamic multi-state population model

 

2015

2060

Annual relative change (%)

Relative change (2015–2060)

All older adult with impairment

 ADL only

3·679 (3·621–3·737)

23·984 (23·397–24·571)

12·2% (12·1–12·3)

551·9% (546·1–557·5)

 CI only

11·443 (11·373–11·514)

47·848 (47·456–48·239)

7·07% (7·05–7·09)

318·1% (317·2–318·9)

 CI and ADL

2·798 (2·759–2·836)

24·352 (23·791–24·913)

17·1% (16·9–17·3)

770·4% (762·2–778·4)

Female

 ADL only

1·650 (1·623–1·676)

10·691 (10·397–10·985)

12·18% (12–12·34)

548·1% (540·5–555·4)

 CI only

7·728 (7·674–7·782)

30·141 (29·869–30·414)

6·45% (6·43–6·46)

290% (289·2–290·8)

 CI and ADL

2·016 (1·984–2·047)

16·110 (15·711–16·510)

15·5% (15·3–15·7)

699·3% (691·7–706·6)

Men

 ADL only

2·029 (1·989–2·070)

13·293 (12·896–13·689)

12·3% (12·1–12·4)

555% (548·5–561·2)

 CI only

3·716 (3·678–3·754)

17·706 (17·470–17·943)

8·37% (8·33–8·4)

376·5% (375–378)

 CI and ADL

0·782 (0·766–0·798)

8·242 (7·960–8·523)

21·2% (20·8–21·5)

953·8% (938·6–968·5)