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Table 1 Projected number of older adults with impairment (in millions) by gender by 95% uncertainty interval. Percentages are unadjusted

From: Trends in functional disability and cognitive impairment among the older adult in China up to 2060: estimates from a dynamic multi-state population model

  2015 2060 Annual relative change (%) Relative change (2015–2060)
All older adult
 Total older adult 159·07 (158·98–159·16) 439·34 (438·31–440·37) 3·92% (3·9–3·93) 176·1% (175·6–176·6)
 Older adult without impairment 141·15 (141·04–141·26) 343·16 (342·44–343·88) 3·18% (3·17–3·19) 143·1% (142·7–143·4)
 Older adult with impairment 17·920 (17·829–18·012) 96·184 (95·280–97·087) 9·71% (9·65–9·76) 436·7% (434·4–439)
 Fraction with impairment (%) 11·26% (11·21–11·32) 21·83% (21·66–22·00) 2.08%(2.07–2.09) 93.6%(93.15–94.05)
Female
 Total older adult 81·175 (81·108–81·242) 221·45 (220·78–222·13) 3·84% (3·83–3·85) 172·8% (172·2–173·4)
 Older adult without impairment 69·782 (69·709–69·856) 164·51 (164·09–164·93) 3·017% (3–3·025) 135·7% (135·4–136·1)
 Older adult with impairment 11·393 (11·331–11.455) 56.943 (56.384–57.502) 8.88% (8.84–8.93) 399.8% (397.6–401.9)
 Fraction with impairment (%) 14·03% (13·96–14·10) 25·62% (25·43–25·81) 1.84%(1.83–1.85) 82.61%(82.16–83.0)
Men
 Total older adult 77·90 (77·84–77·96) 217·88 (217·19–218·58) 3·99% (3·98–4·01) 179·6% (179–180·3)
 Older adult without impairment 71·376 (71·300–71·452) 178·64 (178·11–179·18) 3·34% (3·33–3·35) 150·2% (149·8–150·7)
 Older adult with impairment 6·527 (6·472–6·582) 39·241 (38·684–39·798) 11·14% (11·06–11·21) 501·2% (497·7–504·6)
 Fraction with impairment (%) 8·38% (8·31–8·45) 17·92% (17·71–18·14) 2.53%(2.51–2.55) 113.84%(113.12–114.67)