Skip to main content

Table 3 The final predictive model from the multivariable logistic regression together with odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI)

From: Clinically useful prediction of hospital admissions in an older population

Variable

Beta Coefficient

ORa

95% CI

p-value

Intercept

−5.697

 

Categorical Variables

 Male gender

−0.123

0.88

(0.82–0.95)

0.001

 Diagnoses in hospital care

  C78 Secondary malignant neoplasm of respiratory and digestive organs

1.009

2.74

(1.39–5.49)

0.004

  E11 Type 2 diabetes mellitus

0.317

1.37

(1.13–1.66)

0.001

  G40 Epilepsy

0.840

2.32

(1.36–3.95)

0.002

  Z93 Artificial opening status

0.791

2.20

(1.22–4.01)

0.009

 Diagnoses in open-clinic visits

  A09 Other gastroenteritis and colitis of infectious and unspecified origin

0.559

1.75

(1.09–2.75)

0.02

  C79 Secondary malignant neoplasm of other and unspecified sites

0.824

2.28

(1.51–3.41)

< 0.001

  C83 Non-follicular lymphoma

0.986

2.68

(1.33–5.37)

0.005

  D50 Iron deficiency anemia

0.335

1.40

(1.08–1.80)

0.01

  E14 Unspecified diabetes mellitus

0.160

1.17

(1.03–1.34)

0.02

  F10 Mental and behavioural disorder due to use of alcohol

0.917

2.50

(1.52–4.09)

< 0.001

  G20 Parkinson’s diseasae

0.548

1.73

(1.25–2.38)

< 0.001

  I20 Angina pectoris

0.221

1.25

(1.04–1.49)

0.01

  I25 Chronic ischaemic heart disease

0.128

1.14

(1.01–1.27)

0.03

  I48 Atrial fibrillation and flutter

0.183

1.20

(1.08–1.34)

< 0.001

  I50 Heart failure

0.276

1.32

(1.15–1.51)

< 0.001

  I73 Other peripheral vascular disease

0.366

1.44

(1.08–1.90)

0.01

  J44 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

0.520

1.68

(1.44–1.97)

< 0.001

  J84 Other interstitial pulmonary disease

0.642

1.90

(1.11–3.20)

0.02

  K50 Crohn disease

1.013

2.75

(1.41–5.29)

0.003

  K56 Paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction without hernia

0.727

2.07

(1.13–3.77)

0.02

  M05 Rheumatoid arthritis

0.501

1.65

(1.17–2.31)

0.004

  N08 Glomerular disorders

1.176

3.24

(1.26–8.51)

0.01

  N18 Chronic kidney disease

0.422

1.53

(1.20–1.93)

< 0.001

  R07 Pain in throat and chest

0.213

1.24

(1.05–1.46)

0.01

  R10 Abdominal and pelvic pain

0.234

1.26

(1.07–1.48)

0.005

  R41 Symptoms and signs involving cognitive function

0.359

1.43

(1.14–1.79)

0.002

  R42 Dizziness and giddiness

0.245

1.28

(1.10–1.49)

0.002

  R55 Syncope and collapse

0.384

1.47

(1.11–1.93)

0.006

  R60 Oedema

0.376

1.46

(1.22–1.73)

< 0.001

  S00 Superficial injury of head

0.476

1.61

(1.19–2.18)

0.002

  S30 Superficial injury of abdomen, lower back and pelvis

0.709

2.03

(1.17–3.53)

0.01

  X50 Overexertion and strenuous or repetitive movements

0.780

2.18

(1.16–4.04)

0.01

Continuous Variables

 Age

0.047

1.05

(1.04–1.05)

< 0.001

 Non-physician visits

0.009

1.01

(1.01–1.01)

< 0.001

 Physician visits

0.019

1.02

(1.01–1.03)

< 0.001

 Previous in-ward hospital stays

0.099

1.10

(1.05–1.16)

< 0.001

 Emergency room (ER) visits

0.123

1.13

(1.08–1.18)

< 0.001

  1. OR Odds Ratio, CI Confidence interval
  2. Based on a training sample (n = 20,364)