From: Clinically useful prediction of hospital admissions in an older population
Number | % unplanned hospital admission | Crude OR | 95% CI | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 20,364 | 20.3 | – | – | |
Categorical Variables | |||||
Diagnoses in hospital care | |||||
E11 Type 2 diabetes mellitus | No | 19,718 | 19.5 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 646 | 43.3 | 3.15 | (2.69–3.70) | |
I10 Essential hypertension | No | 18,174 | 18.3 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 2190 | 36.5 | 2.57 | (2.33–2.82) | |
I25 Chronic ischaemic heart disease | No | 19,663 | 19.5 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 701 | 42.9 | 3.11 | (2.67–3.63) | |
I48 Atrial fibrillation and flutter | No | 19,235 | 19.0 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 1129 | 42.2 | 3.12 | (2.76–3.53) | |
I50 Heart failure | No | 19,712 | 19.4 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 652 | 47.5 | 3.77 | (3.22–4.41) | |
J44 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | No | 20,046 | 19.8 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 318 | 47.8 | 3.70 | (2.96–4.62) | |
N18 Chronic renal failure | No | 20,179 | 20.0 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 185 | 53.0 | 4.51 | (3.37–6.04) | |
Z92 Personal history of medical treatment | No | 19,596 | 19.3 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 768 | 44.9 | 3.41 | (2.94–3.94) | |
Z95 Presence of cardiac and vascular implants and grafts | No | 19,741 | 19.6 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 623 | 42.2 | 3.00 | (2.55–3.53) | |
Diagnoses in open-clinic visits | |||||
I25 Chronic ischaemic heart disease | No | 18,294 | 19.2 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 2070 | 30.0 | 1.80 | (1.63–1.99) | |
I48 Atrial fibrillation and flutter | No | 17,808 | 18.5 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 2556 | 32.4 | 2.11 | (1.92–2.31) | |
I50 Heart failure | No | 18,936 | 18.9 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 1428 | 38.9 | 2.73 | (2.44–3.06) | |
R06 Abnormalities of breathing | No | 19,445 | 19.5 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 919 | 35.8 | 2.30 | (1.99–2.64) | |
R07 Pain in throat and chest | No | 19,504 | 19.6 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 860 | 36.3 | 2.34 | (2.02–2.70) | |
Z51 Other medical care | No | 19,431 | 19.5 | 1 (ref) | – |
Yes | 933 | 37.3 | 2.46 | (2.14–2.82) | |
Continuous Variablesa, b | |||||
Age | 81 | (75–106) | 1.05 | (1.04–1.05) | |
Emergency room (ER) visits | 0 | (0–25) | 1.52 | (1.47–1.57) | |
Non-physician visits | 4 | (0–210) | 1.02 | (1.02–1.03) | |
Physician visits | 3 | (0–100) | 1.08 | (1.07–1.09) | |
Previous in-ward hospital stays | 0 | (0–16) | 1.56 | (1.50–1.62) |