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Table 2 | Multivariable logistic regression of risk factors by physical activity category for hospital admissions and length of hospital stay categories over 10 years (1999 to 2009) and 20 years (1999 to 2019) in 25,014 men and women and 10 years (2009–2019) using the TP2 baseline in 9722 men and women

From: Usual physical activity and subsequent hospital usage over 20 years in a general population: the EPIC-Norfolk cohort

 

Inactive

n = 7559

Moderately inactive

n = 7187

Moderately active

n = 5688

Active

n = 4580

p (trend)

10-year follow-up

Outcome of any hospital admissions (18,179/25014)

  n (%)

5878 (78%)

5103 (71%)

3980 (70%)

3218 (70%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.87 (0.80–0.94)

0.90 (0.83–0.97)

0.96 (0.88–1.05)

0.373

  Model 2b

1.00

0.91 (0.84–0.98)

0.91 (0.84–0.99)

0.95 (0.87–1.04)

0.286

Outcome of seven or more hospital admissions (3462/25014)

  n (%)

1392 (18%)

891 (12%)

689 (12%)

490 (11%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.76 (0.69–0.83)

0.79 (0.71–0.87)

0.71 (0.63–0.79)

<  0.001

  Model 2b

1.00

0.80 (0.72–0.88)

0.82 (0.73–0.91)

0.73 (0.65–0.82)

<  0.001

Outcome of more than 20 hospital days (4976/25014)

  n (%)

2122 (28%)

1299 (18%)

893 (16%)

662 (14%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.75 (0.69–0.81)

0.72 (0.66–0.79)

0.71 (0.64–0.79)

<  0.001

  Model 2b

1.00

0.80 (0.74–0.87)

0.77 (0.70–0.84)

0.75 (0.67–0.83)

<  0.001

20-year follow-up

Outcome of any hospital admissions (22,497/25014)

  n (%)

6915 (91%)

6453 (90%)

5072 (89%)

4057 (89%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

1.06 (0.94–1.19)

1.07 (0.95–1.21)

1.08 (0.95–1.22)

0.238

  Model 2b

1.00

1.11 (0.98–1.24)

1.10 (0.97–1.25)

1.08 (0.95–1.23)

0.274

Outcome of seven or more hospital admissions (8849/25014)

  n (%)

2969 (39%)

2490 (35%)

1879 (33%)

1511 (33%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.94 (0.88–1.01)

0.92 (0.85–0.99)

0.94 (0.87–1.02)

0.055

  Model 2b

1.00

0.98 (0.91–1.05)

0.94 (0.87–1.01)

0.96 (0.89–1.05)

0.194

Outcome of 12 or more hospital admissions (3989/25014)

  n (%)

1354 (18%)

1088 (15%)

894 (16%)

653 (14%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.90 (0.82–0.98)

0.95 (0.87–1.05)

0.85 (0.76–0.94)

0.010

  Model 2b

1.00

0.95 (0.87–1.04)

0.98 (0.89–1.08)

0.87 (0.78–0.97)

0.040

Outcome of more than 20 hospital days (10,174/25014)

  n (%)

3800 (50%)

2836 (39%)

1996 (35%)

1542 (34%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.87 (0.81–0.93)

0.82 (0.76–0.88)

0.84 (0.77–0.91)

<  0.001

  Model 2b

1.00

0.93 (0.86–1.00)

0.86 (0.79–0.93)

0.88 (0.81–0.96)

<  0.001

Outcome of more than 50 hospital days (5178/25014)

  n (%)

2065 (27%)

1411 (20%)

994 (17%)

708 (15%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.85 (0.79–0.93)

0.86 (0.78–0.94)

0.81 (0.73–0.89)

<  0.001

  Model 2b

1.00

0.91 (0.84–0.99)

0.91 (0.83–1.00)

0.84 (0.76–0.94)

0.001

10-year follow-up from TP2 baseline

 

Inactive

n = 3937

Moderately inactive

n = 2686

Moderately active

n = 1655

Active

n = 1444

p (trend)

Outcome of any hospital admissions (7855/9722)

  n (%)

3332 (85%)

2127 (79%)

1267 (77%)

1129 (78%)

 

  Model 1†

1.00

0.93 (0.81–1.06)

0.85 (0.73–0.99)

1.00 (0.85–1.17)

0.484

  Model 2‡

1.00

0.97 (0.85–1.11)

0.90 (0.77–1.05)

1.04 (0.88–1.22)

0.922

Outcome of seven or more hospital admissions (1802/9722)

  n (%)

874 (22%)

466 (17%)

259 (16%)

203 (14%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.89 (0.78–1.01)

0.81 (0.69–0.94)

0.73 (0.62–0.87)

<  0.001

  Model 2b

1.00

0.93 (0.82–1.06)

0.84 (0.72–0.99)

0.77 (0.64–0.91)

0.001

Outcome of more than 20 hospital days (2170/9722)

  n (%)

1217 (31%)

489 (18%)

273 (16%)

191 (13%)

 

  Model 1a

1.00

0.69 (0.61–0.78)

0.69 (0.59–0.80)

0.57 (0.48–0.68)

<  0.001

  Model 2b

1.00

0.72 (0.64–0.82)

0.71 (0.61–0.83)

0.60 (0.50–0.72)

<  0.001

  1. a Adjusted for age, sex, manual social class, lower education level, current cigarette smoker, body mass index > 30 kg/m2.