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Table 2 Logistic regression analysis of the 1stFall risk groups against occurrence of a fall in Ontario, Manitoba, Alberta and British Colombia (validation samples)

From: Development and validation of an algorithm to assess risk of first-time falling among home care clients

 

Ontario (n = 38,013)

Manitoba (n = 2739)

Alberta (n = 1226)

British Columbia (n = 9568)

Risk group defined by 1stFall

OR (95% CI)

N (%)

OR (95% CI)

N (%)

OR (95% CI)

N (%)

OR (95% CI)

N (%)

1 (reference)

1548 (4.07)

56 (2.05)

19 (1.55)

279 (2.92)

2

1.56 (1.29–1.87)

10,037 (26.40)

5.56 (1.34–23.12)

656 (23.96)

1.84 (0.41–8.24)

264 (21.53)

1.02 (0.73–1.44)

1448 (15.14)

3

2.20 (1.83–2.64)

12,633 (33.23)

6.23 (1.51–25.75)

1125 (41.09)

2.45 (0.56–10.75)

523 (42.66)

1.49 (1.08–2.06)

3665 (38.31)

4

3.10 (2.58–3.72)

9365 (24.64)

7.54 (1.82–31.28)

646 (23.59)

3.48 (0.79–15.36)

310 (25.29)

2.01 (1.45–2.78)

2847 (29.76)

5

4.02 (3.33–4.86)

4078 (10.73)

8.31 (1.96–35.23)

221 (8.07)

4.19 (0.92–19.15)

106 (8.65)

2.41 (1.72–3.38)

1179 (12.32)

6

6.28 (4.75–8.30)

352 (0.93)

9.72 (1.96–48.30)

34 (1.24)

8.50 (0.74–98.18)

4 (0.33)

3.27 (2.08–5.16)

148 (1.55)

c-statistic

0.60

 

0.55

 

0.58

 

0.58

 
  1. OR: Odds ratio, CI: Confidence Interv