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Table 2 Anthropometric indices and incident T2D risk in men and women

From: Using different anthropometric indices to assess prediction ability of type 2 diabetes in elderly population: a 5 year prospective study

Variables

Cases/Total(n)

Incidence/1000 person-years

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Men (n = 5998)

 WC (cm)

   < 85

142/3356

9.79

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

   ≥ 85

223/2642

19.57

1.75(1.42,2.16)

1.73(1.40,2.14)

1.43(1.14,1.78)

  P value

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

 WHtR

   < 0.5

106/2763

8.88

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

   ≥ 0.5

259/3235

18.55

1.91(1.52,2.39)

1.88(1.50,2.36)

1.43(1.22,1.82)

  P value

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

 BMI (kg/m2)

   < 24

98/2868

7.94

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

  24–27.9

179/2467

16.71

2.09(1.63,2.67)

2.10(1.64,2.70)

1.56(1.21,2.02)

  ≥ 28

88/633

30.82

4.18(3.14,5.58)

4.21(3.14,5.64)

2.59(1.91,3.53)

  P for trend

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

 VAI

  Tertile 1

78/2000

8.99

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

  Tertile 2

99/1999

11.41

1.24(0.92,1.67)

1.24(0.92,1.67)

1.17(0.86,1.58)

  Tertile 3

188/1999

22.00

2.39(1.84,3.11)

2.40(1.84,3.13)

2.00(1.49,2.67)

  P for trend

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

 ABSI

  Tertile 1

119/1999

13.73

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

  Tertile 2

128/1999

14.76

0.88(0.68,1.23)

0.86(0.67,1.10)

0.80(0.62,1.03)

  Tertile 3

118/2000

13.79

0.78(0.60,1.01)

0.76(0.59,0.99)

0.79(0.61,1.03)

  P for trend

  

0.056

0.039

0.098

 BRI

  Tertile 1

93/1999

10.79

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

  Tertile 2

109/2000

12.57

1.43(1.06,1.92)

1.42(1.06,1.91)

1.14(0.84,1.54)

  Tertile 3

183/1999

21.26

2.32(1.77,3.05)

2.27(1.73,2.99)

1.60(1.20,2.13)

  P for trend

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

Women (n = 3964)

 WC (cm)

   < 80

78/1899

9.50

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

   ≥ 80

171/2065

18.96

1.67(1.28,2.18)

1.67(1.27,2.20)

1.46(1.11,1.92)

  P value

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

 WHtR

   < 0.5

49/1395

8.11

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

   ≥ 0.5

200/2569

17.87

1.87(1.37,2.56)

1.85(1.34,2.54)

1.51(1.10,2.09)

  P value

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

 BMI (kg/m2)

   < 24

66/1864

8.15

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

  24–27.9

121/1486

18.70

2.31(1.71,3.11)

2.29(1.69,3.10)

1.74(1.27,2.36)

   ≥ 28

62/614

23.30

2.78(1.97,3.94)

2.81(1.98,4.00)

2.01(1.41,2.87)

  P for trend

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

 VAI

  Tertile 1

50/1322

8.77

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

  Tertile 2

97/1320

16.79

1.90(1.35,2.67)

1.86(1.32,2.63)

1.80(1.28,2.55)

  Tertile 3

102/1322

17.72

2.04(1.45,2.87)

2.01(1.43,2.83)

1.85(1.31,2.61)

  P for trend

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

0.003

 ABSI

  Tertile 1

85/1321

14.74

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

  Tertile 2

79/1321

13.77

0.79(0.58,1.07)

0.77(0.56,1.05)

0.73(0.53,1.00)

  Tertile 3

85/1322

14.82

0.76(0.56,1.03)

0.74(0.54,1.01)

0.83(0.61,1.41)

  P for trend

  

< 0.001

0.073

0.313

 BRI

  Tertile 1

46/1323

8.02

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

  Tertile 2

82/1327

14.05

1.50(1.04,2.16)

1.42(0.98,2.05)

1.23(0.85,1.78)

  Tertile 3

121/1314

21.38

2.18(1.54,3.08)

1.98(1.39,2.82)

1.73(1.21,2.46)

  P for trend

  

< 0.001

< 0.001

0.001

  1. Model 1 unadjusted model. Model 2 additionally adjusted for age, smoking, drinking, physical activity and education level. Model 3 additionally adjusted for hypertension, hyperlipidemia (except VAI), FBG (except VAI) and family history of T2D
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BMC Geriatrics

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