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Table 3 Multivariate models to predict a relevant decline of functional status (n = 2211)

From: Prediction of functional decline in community-dwelling older persons in general practice: a cohort study

Variables included in the model

AUC

compared to

delta AUC

p-value

R2a

Model 1

Age and sex

0.602

   

0.033

Model 2

model 1, polypharmacy, multimorbidity and living situation

0.620

model 1

0.018

0.029

0.042

Model 3

model 1 and ISCOPE-score

0.644

model 1

0.024

< 0.001

0.066

Model 4

model 1 and GP opinion on vulnerability

0.669

model 1

0.049

< 0.001

0.086

Model 5

model 1, ISCOPE-score and GP opinion on vulnerability

0.684

model 4

0.015

0.009

0.102

Model 6

model 2 and ISCOPE-score

0.649

model 2

0.029

0.007

0.069

Model 7

model 2 and GP opinion on vulnerability

0.672

model 2

0.052

< 0.001

0.090

Model 8

model 2, ISCOPE-score and GP opinion on vulnerability

0.686

model 7

0.014

0.016

0.105

  1. aNagelkerke