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Table 3 Projected annual incident cases of HZ in Australia, Japan and the United States in 2030

From: The temporal impact of aging on the burden of herpes zoster

 

United States

Japan

Australia

2001

2015

2030

2001

2015

2030

2001

2015

2030

Scenario 1

Projected Incidence (per 1,000)

8.36

12.88

17.72

7.11

9.46

11.98

7.54

11.44

15.62

HZ cases in ≥65 years old

293,785

612,692

1,303,328

158,616

315,482

437,867

18,105

41,243

86,268

Scenario 2

Projected Incidence (per 1,000)

8.36

9.97

9.97

7.11

7.95

7.95

7.54

10.60

10.60

HZ cases ≥65 years old

293,785

474,511

733,629

158,616

265,120

290,641

18,105

38,229

58,561

  1. Scenario 1: linear extrapolation of HZ incidence trends observed during study period. Scenario 2: Last observation of incidence observed in the study period carried forward) HZ: Herpes Zoster