Table 3 Percentage of persons required to undertake one of the two interventions in 2025 in order to lower the expected increase in the absolute number of femoral fracturesa in community-dwelling persons aged 65 years and older to 15/10/5/0 % compared to 2014
Fall prevention exercise | Percentage of persons aged 70 to 89 years needed to participate in order to achieve the targeted reduction | |||
Reduction of expected increase between 2014 and 2025 to | ||||
15 % | 10 % | 5 % | 0 % | |
Prevented fraction based on a relative risk of 0.39 | 16.2 | 25.1 | 33.9 | 42.7 |
Sensitivity analysis | ||||
Lower boundary of 95 % CI: 0.22 | 12.7 | 19.6 | 26.5 | 33.4 |
Upper boundary of 95 % CI: 0.66 | 29.1 | 44.9 | 60.8 | 76.6 |
Bisphosphonates | Percentage of persons aged 65 years and older with osteoporosisc needed to receive medication in order to achieve the targeted reduction | |||
Reduction of expected increase between 2014 and 2025 to | ||||
15 % | 10 % | 5 % | 0 % | |
Prevented fraction based on a relative risk of 0.58 | 26.9 | 41.5 | 56.2 | 70.8 |
Sensitivity analysis | ||||
Lower boundary of 95 % CI: 0.42 | 19.5 | 30.1 | 40.7 | 51.3 |
Upper boundary of 95 % CI: 0.80 | 56.7 | 87.3 | b | b |