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Table 3 Comparison of the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) including 95 % confidence intervals (CI) for each outcome between the public health nurses’ (PHNs) perception of frailty, the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community (RISC), taking a cut-off of ≥2 (based on ROC curve analysis)

From: The Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community (RISC): a new instrument for predicting risk of adverse outcomes in community dwelling older adults

Outcome

Variable

Sensitivity

Specificity

PPV

NPV

(95 % CI)

(95 % CI)

(95 % CI)

(95 % CI)

Institutionalization

PHNs perception of frailty

52 %

59 %

13 %

92 %

(48–55 %)

(56–63 %)

(9–16 %)

(89–94 %)

CFS

76 %

48 %

14 %

95 %

(73–79 %)

(45–52 %)

(11–18 %)

(92–97 %)

RISC

58 %

76 %

22 %

94 %

(55–62 %)

(73–79 %)

(16–27 %)

(92–96 %)

Hospitalization

PHNs perception of frailty

46 %

59 %

19 %

84 %

(42–49 %)

(56–63 %)

(15–24 %)

(80–87 %)

CFS

61 %

47 %

20 %

85 %

(58–65 %)

(44–51 %)

(16–24 %)

(81–89 %)

RISC

70 %

46 %

22 %

88 %

(66–73 %)

(43–50 %)

(18–26 %)

(84–91 %)

Death

PHNs perception of frailty

66 %

63 %

25 %

91 %

(63–69 %)

(59–66 %)

(20–30 %)

(88–93 %)

CFS

74 %

50 %

22 %

91 %

(71–77 %)

(46–53 %)

(18–25 %)

(88–94 %)

RISC

66 %

69 %

28 %

92 %

(63–69 %)

(65–72 %)

(23–33 %)

(89–94 %)