Table 2 Multinomial logistic regression predicting ED episode patterns

Age Above Median

   1.363

   (1.125, 1.653)

   0.934

   (0.777, 1.122)

African American

   0.812

   (0.591, 1.116)

   1.127

   (0.842, 1.508)

Hispanic

   0.847

   (0.518, 1.386)

   1.066

   (0.679, 1.674)

White (ref)

Men

   1.026

   (0.832, 1.265)

   0.788

   (0,644, 0.964)

Lives Alone

   1.065

   (0.877, 1.294)

   0.927

   (0.770, 1.116)

# of Insur Health Policies

   0.968

   (0.833, 1.125)

   0.991

   (0.859, 1.144)

Body Mass Index: Obese

   1.364

   (1.025, 1.815)

   1.199

   (0.916, 1.571)

Never Smoked (ref)

Former Smoker

   0.968

   (0.786, 1.191)

   0.823

   (0.676, 1.002)

Current Smoker

   0.908

   (0.660, 1.248)

   0.633

   (0.462, 0.866)

No Drinks (ref)

Between 1&2 Drinks

   1.027

   (0.720, 1.465)

   1.417

   (1.032, 1.945)

More than 3 Drinks

   1.108

   (0.568, 2.163)

   1.197

   (0.637, 2.250)

Self-Reported Health (VG)

Fair Self-Reported Health

   1.0465

   (0.834, 1.312)

   1.005

   (0.808, 1.248)

Poor Self-Reported Health

   1.230

   (0.894, 1.693)

   1.061

   (0.772, 1.459)

IADL 1 or More

   0.902

   (0.705, 1.154)

   0.954

   (0.751, 1.213)

Arthritis

   0.785

   (0.626, 0.984)

   1.281

   (1.044, 1.572)

Diabetes

   1.095

   (0.839, 1.428)

   0.665

   (0.502, 0.882)

Heart Disease

   1.494

   (1.195, 1.867)

   0.974

   (0.780, 1.215)

Hypertension

   1.361

   (1,128, 1.643)

   1.006

   (0.842, 1.203)

Lung Disease

   0.392

   (0.285, 0.541)

   0.580

   (0.432, 0.778)

Psych. Problems

   0.873

   (0.612, 1.245)

   0.951

   (0.682, 1.326)

Stroke

   1.322

   (0.962, 1.817)

   1.698

   (1.242, 2.321)

4 or More Morbid Conditions

   1.152

   (0.816, 1.626)

   0.758

   (0.528, 1.088)

Hospitalized in last 12 mo.

   1.285

   (1.029, 1.604)

   1.003

   (0.806, 1.248)

Visits to MDs in 2 yrs

   0.995

   (0.979, 1.011)

   0.999

   (0.983, 1.015)

Upper 20% beds per 1,000

   0.780

   (0.603, 1.008)

   1.026

   (0.810, 1.300)

Upper 20% MDs per 1,000

   1.132

   (0.881, 1.454)

   1.009

   (0.794, 1.283)

Distance to ED

   0.993

   (0.983, 1.004)

   0.999

   (0.989, 1.009)

Population > 1 mln

   1.027

   (0.836, 1.262)

   1.039

   (0.853, 1.265)

Population < 20,000

   1.331

   (1.004, 1.765)

   1.479

   (1.139, 1.920)

Years from first to last ED

   0.929

   (0.907, 0.951)

   0.998

   (0.978, 1.019)