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Table 4 a. Score chart basic model and b. Score chart extended model.

From: Age, gender and disability predict future disability in older people: the Rotterdam Study

a. Score chart basic model

Predictors

Mild disability

Severe disability

Death

Age

   

   60

24

42

60

   70

28

49

70

   80

32

56

80

   90

36

63

90

Gender

   

   Male

0

0

0

   Female

2

4

-3

Disability Index

   

   0.0

0

0

0

   0.5

5

9

9

   1.0

10

18

18

   1.5

15

27

27

   2.0

20

36

36

   2.5

25

45

45

   3.0

30

54

54

Constant

-34

-59

-76

 

Sumscore*

Sumscore*

Sumscore*

b. Score chart extended model.

Predictors

Mild disability

Severe disability

Death

Age

   

   60

24

42

60

   70

28

49

70

   80

32

56

80

   90

36

63

90

Gender

   

   Male

0

0

0

   Female

2

4

-3

Disability Index

   

   0.0

0

0

0

   0.5

5

9

9

   1.0

10

18

18

   1.5

15

27

27

   2.0

20

36

36

   2.5

25

45

45

   3.0

30

54

54

MMSE

   

   20

0

0

0

   22

-1

-1

-2

   24

-2

-2

-4

   26

-3

-3

-6

   28

-4

-4

-8

   30

-5

-5

-10

Self-rated health

   

   Same

0

0

0

   Better

-1

-2

-1

   Worse

3

4

5

BMI

   

   < 25

0

0

0

   25-30

1

1

1

   ≥30

2

2

3

Hypertension

2

2

3

Joint complaints

3

3

0

Constant

-26

-49

-45

 

Sumscore*

Sumscore*

Sumscore*

  1. *The probability of each outcome (prognostic score) for an individual can be estimated by adding the scores for each applicable characteristic resulting in a sumscore. The sumscores represents the predicted probability of the outcome category, which may be calculated through the formulas in the appendix